Worst case scenario

Discussion in 'AdSense' started by cornelius, Dec 2, 2005.

  1. #1
    i was doing some thinking;
    currently the text-based advertising is a rapidly growing area with alot of people making alot of quick money
    there the problem lies this reminds me of the dot com years!
    • what happens when the Google bubble bursts (call it Goobble :) ) ??
    • what if Microsoft in its next version of internet explorer or Vista decides to block google ads out of the box because they see google as competition??
    • what if more people discover firefox adblocker plugin??
    • what if google get squeezeed on by shareholders to keep a larger % of revenue to themselves??
    • what if google moves away from pay per click, pay per impression models towards pay per referal/conversion

    i always try to analyse best and worst case scenarios, and the 5 above seem to be the worst case scenarios for many people here

    to get to the point whats your "exit strategy"??
     
    cornelius, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  2. Nintendo

    Nintendo ♬ King of da Wackos ♬

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    #2
    Don't put your eggs in one basket.

    There's allready been one MAJOR internet burst and we survived that one back in 2001.
     
    Nintendo, Dec 2, 2005 IP
    GeorgeB. likes this.
  3. idolw

    idolw Peon

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    #3
    they will not do it. they point is to search and show, not sell. otherwise, we would already have google banking, google travel, google pharmacy, google bookstore...
    nah, they would become an online mall.

    adsense would become less interesting. I find it good actually, as companies selling real products would do better.

    it will be enough to set MSN as default SE and block changing this. that will do the trick.
     
    idolw, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  4. falco85

    falco85 Peon

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    #4
    I reckon there are several jobs you can make on the net. Just to name some:
    - domain business
    - article/content writer
    - adsense
    - other ads
    - affiliate programs
    - freelancing as coder/programmer/etc
    - ebay wholeselling

    etc etc etc.. it's an infinite list. Imho if you want to make a living on the net you should consider having some biz everywhere.. and hire someone willing to help you for a reasonable fee :)
     
    falco85, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  5. GeorgeB.

    GeorgeB. Notable Member

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    #5
    Listen to him for he speaks truth!
     
    GeorgeB., Dec 2, 2005 IP
  6. Nintendo

    Nintendo ♬ King of da Wackos ♬

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    #6
    Some people learned that the hard way back in 2001 when NASDAQ crashed!!!! We were racking in the cash mostly from CPM banners, clicks and searches...and then we had to actually start working to earn that cash!!!! I havn't touched CPM ads since the crash!
     
    Nintendo, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  7. Crusader

    Crusader Peon

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    #7
    There's no such thing as quick money! At least not if you want it to last. It takes time and effort to build a sustainable site and user base.

    This is unlikely, but you should never ever trust solely in one revenue source. You need to have at least two other options you can fall back on if something happens to one.

    Very unlikely again. I can already see the multitude of law suits if MS even thinks about something like this.
    Most people don't care to have ads shown to them. The % that do is negleble. However in the worst case, you might start charging a member fee for the content you provide. That is of course where good content will be the key.

    This is where your fallback comes into play. If Adsense doesn't perform well for you, you move over to Plan B.
    Unlikely that they will move solely to CPA advertising. IF they do, you can once again fall back to Plan B or plan C.
     
    Crusader, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  8. Sharpseo

    Sharpseo Peon

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    #8
    I agree with Crusader, no such thing as quick money. If you're making "quick" money with adsense, you probably already have extensive web development skills, or existing websites, or you're building spammy sites that won't generate cash for long.

    This kind of thinking leads to "get rich quick" delusions. Google adsense, or affiliate programs are not get rich quick schemes. They take hard work and dedication, like anything else.
     
    Sharpseo, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  9. Red

    Red Peon

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    #9
    Nobody who be able to sue microsoft, if they ever where choose to block out Google ads, you have to remember this is the internet and internet has different laws if not any laws at all because it's of it's Global usage.

    Look at all of the American things that china blocks out that America can't do anything about because it's the internet, I mean what are the Americans going to do sue lol?

    And no I'm not a supporter of Google or Microsoft but I know if I was to develop a browser and I want to block out something like Google ads you would not be able to sue me because of it (you can always switch your browser lol).
     
    Red, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  10. Crusader

    Crusader Peon

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    #10
    The thing is that MS and Google are both US companies and they both cater to the same market e.g. search, and Ad serving (MS version to come). Now if they block out their competitors ad serving by default it will definitely be frowned upon. Just look at the IE vs other browser's debacle from a few years back.

    If on the other hand, they allow people the choice of doing so, I don't see a problem with it. In anycase, who cares... everyone wil be using Firefox soon ;) * We can dream*
     
    Crusader, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  11. Red

    Red Peon

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    #11
    lol if everybody is going to use firefox then you have nothing to worry about, but I do have to agree if Microsoft was to ever do something like that it would be incredibly selfish.

    And one more thing I do realize that there both American companies but I don't see what's wrong with one company boycotting another company, not to say I would ever do anything like that hehe.

    Try http://www.scroogle.org/cgi-bin/scraper.htm you will get Google results without any annoying ads lol.

    [​IMG]
     
    Red, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  12. Crusader

    Crusader Peon

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    #12
    There's nothing wrong for a company to do that, but by forcing the users of their products to also do so is crossing the line.

    It would almost be similar to MS not allowing any non-Microsoft designed products to be installed on your computer. (Can't think of a better example at the moment... ;) )
     
    Crusader, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  13. Red

    Red Peon

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    #13
    Well my windows products don't work on mac I say we sue *Joking* lol!

    Great points btw! :)
     
    Red, Dec 2, 2005 IP
  14. cornelius

    cornelius Peon

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    #14
    ok if they switch to firefox then theres that damned plugin that blocks ads!

    for alot of people Adsense=Get Rich no serious
    for myself im paid £1500 for 3 dedicated servers for next 12 months, i have to breakeven first
     
    cornelius, Dec 2, 2005 IP