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What is driving stock market high? Crash ahead?

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by jaguar34, Jun 13, 2021.

  1. #1
    What is driving stock market high? The stimulus package money.

    Is there a stock market crash ahead as PE valuation has gone very high. What is your present valuation in stock market? Mine is 4.7 Lack USD
     
    jaguar34, Jun 13, 2021 IP
  2. jrbiz

    jrbiz Acclaimed Member

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    #2
    I think that the U.S. stock market and quite a few businesses are trying to pretend that Dementia Joe's handlers did not steal the election and Trump is still president. They are hoping against hope that the economy will recover as the virus hoax gets called off now that the election is over. However, all of the signs are that we are headed back to Jimmy Carter's stagflation economy due to the new socialist, anti-business policies that are being put in place. Once the stock market and business leaders realize the sad truth and face the facts, I believe that we are in for some hard times ahead, at least until the socialist nuts lose Congress in late 2022 but probably until the 2024 presidential election. Of course, I hope that I am wrong as I would prefer to have a better economy, but my planning is all around a big downturn in the months ahead.
     
    jrbiz, Jun 13, 2021 IP
  3. mmerlinn

    mmerlinn Prominent Member

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    #3
    Plan for the worst, hope for the best.
     
    mmerlinn, Jun 13, 2021 IP
  4. jrbiz

    jrbiz Acclaimed Member

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    #4
    At this point in my career, I am not sure if I can ever expect the "best" again. Honestly, I did not think that the U.S. economy would ever do better than when Reagan was in office in the 1980's. Trump proved me wrong by pulling together the strongest, most exciting economy the world has ever seen. That said, I suppose that should Trump run again in 2024, and this time we do not allow the election to be stolen, perhaps he can do it again.
     
    jrbiz, Jun 13, 2021 IP
  5. krishatnet

    krishatnet Well-Known Member

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    #5
    Many option buyers burning their hands by buying puts in this bull market. I am from India even covid cases very high market is creating new all time highs every day. It is better to go with trend
     
    krishatnet, Jun 13, 2021 IP
  6. jaguar34

    jaguar34 Notable Member

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    #6
    I don't think anyone here on this forum has enough money to trade stocks in options. Option trading in stocks is done by stock brokers only and for that you need to pass exam from NISM in India. I am a investor and not a trader.
     
    Last edited: Jun 13, 2021
    jaguar34, Jun 13, 2021 IP
  7. Ziporal Morris

    Ziporal Morris Banned

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    #7
    It is impossible to predict whether there will be a stock market crash in the near future. The present P/E valuations in the stock market are indeed very high, but this does not necessarily mean that a crash is imminent. It is always advisable to look at the overall market trend, analyze the performance of stocks, and make informed decisions before investing in the stock market.
     
    Ziporal Morris, Apr 12, 2023 IP
    jrbiz likes this.
  8. sarahk

    sarahk iTamer Staff

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    #8
    It's almost impossible for a layperson to make informed decisions. Our understanding of a company's strengths and weaknesses as well as dodgy business practices will never be complete. Think of the dodgy mortgage situation in the US. In hindsight, it was a bloody stupid thing that would always end in disaster yet better financial brains than mine couldn't see that. I've worked in massive insurance companies that make idiotic IT decisions and yet still get touted as sound investment options.
     
    sarahk, Apr 13, 2023 IP
  9. jrbiz

    jrbiz Acclaimed Member

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    #9
    Putting your money on any one stock is much like betting on a football game: it is a complete gamble. Spreading your money around the stock market (e.g., investment funds) is also a gamble, though not quite as risky. Predicting how stupid economic policy will affect the economy is no less of a gamble. That said, it did not take a genius to figure out that the leftist mortgage policies passed under Clinton (which basically punished banks that did not offer mortgages to unqualified buyers and rewarded banks that threw money at the them) would end up in the mortgage crisis of 2008 a decade later. The obvious danger was pointed out by many conservative financial and political types when the laws were being passed, but the leftist Democrats and the Fake News drowned out those voices of sanity in that power-crazed push to socialize the economy.
     
    jrbiz, Apr 14, 2023 IP