I know this gets asked regularly, however I was hoping someone could eloborate a little futher. I have done my own calculations and I am quite happy with what i have worked out however I would like to know what you think. Based on 200k Uniques a month across multiple sites all in the Online Games genre, how would you gauge the profit per months through Adsense. Both generous and done conservatively. 200k Uniques (with approximately 5-10 average visits per user) Games Genre Only Adsense on the links. CTR (Anything you think would be reasonable to assume. I worked it out on a 2%, but alot of the uniques are from a forum. I dont know CTR on forums, but possibly less.) What do you think the overall estimate for a month may be. Thanks
If alot of the uniques are from a forum, probably you won't get 2% CTR. Maybe you could get most of your money from CPM ads at aprox a 0.30 - 0.60 CPM.
My estimate is: 42 seriously.. all the math, charts, graphs, and toilet paper in the world are not as accurate as just trying it..
Best case scenario: 200K X .03CTR = 6000 X 0.03cent average = $180.00 Realistic scenario: 200K X 0.03CTR = 6000 X 0.01cent average = $60.00.
The 200k is unique visitors, not page views. which I would estimate is higher. The only reason I cant try it, is because I dont have access to the site. I am just trying to gauge some predictions. I know predictions are predictions and they cant be given as any degree of accuracy.
You can just put some heavy error bars on the estimates. Calculate a best case and a worst case. Take half the difference between the two and add and subtract that amount to and from the high and low ends respectively and you might get close to a safe range. Or, take out your trusty dartboard and start winging darts at it, either will get you into the same ballpark.