Predictive Calculations

Discussion in 'AdSense' started by Kalyse, May 27, 2007.

  1. #1
    I know this gets asked regularly, however I was hoping someone could eloborate a little futher.


    I have done my own calculations and I am quite happy with what i have worked out however I would like to know what you think.

    Based on 200k Uniques a month across multiple sites all in the Online Games genre, how would you gauge the profit per months through Adsense. Both generous and done conservatively.

    200k Uniques (with approximately 5-10 average visits per user)
    Games Genre
    Only Adsense on the links.
    CTR (Anything you think would be reasonable to assume. I worked it out on a 2%, but alot of the uniques are from a forum. I dont know CTR on forums, but possibly less.)

    What do you think the overall estimate for a month may be.

    Thanks
     
    Kalyse, May 27, 2007 IP
  2. minimumrage

    minimumrage Peon

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    #2
    $83.28 every 49 days.
     
    minimumrage, May 27, 2007 IP
  3. ajsa52

    ajsa52 Well-Known Member

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    #3
    If alot of the uniques are from a forum, probably you won't get 2% CTR.
    Maybe you could get most of your money from CPM ads at aprox a 0.30 - 0.60 CPM.
     
    ajsa52, May 27, 2007 IP
  4. Tearabite

    Tearabite Prominent Member

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    #4
    My estimate is: 42

    seriously.. all the math, charts, graphs, and toilet paper in the world are not as accurate as just trying it..
     
    Tearabite, May 27, 2007 IP
  5. Fka200

    Fka200 Guest

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    #5
    Best case scenario:

    200K X .03CTR = 6000 X 0.03cent average = $180.00

    Realistic scenario:


    200K X 0.03CTR = 6000 X 0.01cent average = $60.00.
     
    Fka200, May 27, 2007 IP
  6. Kalyse

    Kalyse Peon

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    #6
    The 200k is unique visitors, not page views. which I would estimate is higher.

    The only reason I cant try it, is because I dont have access to the site. I am just trying to gauge some predictions.

    I know predictions are predictions and they cant be given as any degree of accuracy.
     
    Kalyse, May 27, 2007 IP
  7. Adpubster

    Adpubster Peon

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    #7
    You can just put some heavy error bars on the estimates. Calculate a best case and a worst case. Take half the difference between the two and add and subtract that amount to and from the high and low ends respectively and you might get close to a safe range. Or, take out your trusty dartboard and start winging darts at it, either will get you into the same ballpark.
     
    Adpubster, May 27, 2007 IP