http://www.washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070920/NATION/109200058/1028/ Questions for the forum... 1. Despite (or rather, in spite of) the war rhetoric, has the Republican base shrunk too small to support this many potential candidates? 2. If and when McCain withdraws, where do you see his support going? Giuliani? Romney? Thompson? Editorial note from guerilla - Just because someone is doing well in the polls, doesn't mean that they can run a successful campaign. Ron Paul has raised over $500k in the last 10 days. Despite his less than 3% poll showings, or support from large special interests.
A lot of Mccain's supporters will go towards Guiliani and Fred Thompson. I don't think it's that the Republican base is too small, but simply Mccain is dead in the water. Look at numbers for some of the other candidates: Republicans as a whole are pulling in a lot of money, not as much as the Democrats, but a lot of money. It's just some of those candidates aren't getting a piece of the pie, like Johnny boy here.
I don't believe that the republican base has shrunk, but if you look at who is running on the republican side there is no favorite which means money instead of going to the top two favorites like it is in on the democrat side, gets spread out by 8 people which means everyone gets less.
That is one thing I can definitely agree on. I think after the quarterly filings next week, we might see some dropouts by Mid October. Anyone else think so?
I don't think the weak candidates will drop out until after the first primary. Everyone is looking for the Kerry effect.
You think all 10 of the guys I had on my Republican poll can finance themselves for another 3-4 months? That doesn't even include real no-namers like Gilbert, Cort, and Cox.
McCain's base was Republicans who wanted a straight-talker who would stand up to those politicians who are in the corporation's pockets (like Bush). His chances went south long before he started this campaign. It was when he decided to back Bush on the Iraq War regardless of the consequences that he began to lose his base.