From what ive read it seems like almost every person in that country has weapons now(even households). Elections are very near and it seems like the christians and the druze might be staying out of it if a war between the shiite hezbolla and sunni lebanese erupts. The sunnis will be funded by saudi arabia of course and hezbolla will be funded by iran through syria. I also think isreal is waiting for another shot at hezbolla but only at the right time.