Hi guys, I have a small blog with 10,000 backlins (According to iwebtool.com) with Alexa Rank 82,252, It predicts that my PR will increase to 6. Is it accurate ?? Did anybody had success with it in the past ?? I need your stories
This question is asked about every day, it seems, lately. The short of it is, no, they are not accurate at all, especially when Google does not update at all for sites that already have PR.
Some of them predict by checking all of Googles data centers. Meaning the data centers with your new PR just havn't shared them with the rest of the data centers.
That only happens when an update is in progress, and if that is the case, we don't need them to see it.
I've got a coin on my desk... I can flip it and make the prediction about your page-rank as equally accurate as those online scripts/programs. In other words... there is no way for PR to be predicted because of the numerous iterations the algorithm runs through.
Think... If it shows u are expected to have a PR7 and then if by any chance your site goes down for 15 days before PR update, would u get the PR7 for a site which is down? That is just for fun......
Take a statistics course and you will see that predictions are not just predicitions and you can predict things accurately given the right conditions.
The more you know about the algorithm used, the more accurate your predictions will be. But as long as you don't know the exact algorithm used it will be nothing more than just predictions.
The final answer Maybe it is (by luck) and maybe it isnt You cant put much weight into these predictions, only google knows the full algo.
These tools can't predict as they don't know the PR algorithm and variables that feed it, they are at best guesses