Great analysis on Russia-Georgia from Vox Day

guerilla Notable Member

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http://voxday.blogspot.com/2008/08/blackfive-thinks-too-logistically.html

From Christian Libertarian blogger and author, Vox Day at his Vox Populi site

Excerpt

This battle for Georgia - not South Ossetia - is a long time in coming. Bill Clinton laid the groundwork for it by altering the rules of the game in Serbia, in which it was made clear that a major power had the right to intervene on behalf of a breakaway republic if it cried "help, help, I'm being repressed" by the sovereign territory owner. The Russians rightly feel that they're playing by our rules and they have every reason to believe they're going to get away with it since there is zero sympathy for the anti-Russian US position in Europe. The European position, quite reasonably, is to shrug and assume that it's just like Kosovo, except that they also don't want to upset their Russian fuel supplies.

At this point, the Georgian attack on South Ossetia appears to have been a terrible miscalculation by the Georgians and their US and Israeli advisors, who have been trying to solidify control over the oil pipeline in recent months. As some observers have noted, there's even some reason to believe that the foreign advisors may have been in the forefront of the attack, based on the appearance of the troops and their gear in pictures of the earliest action. (I don't have an opinion on this; I didn't see the pictures myself.) In overreacting to the obvious provocations from the Russian-backed South Ossetians, the Georgians handed Russia the excuse it was quite obviously waiting for. I doubt Russia wants to annex Georgia, they are seeking a regime change, preferably to one that is pro-Russian.

Georgia did start this. That the Russians anticipated such a blunder and are taking full advantage of it doesn't change the central fact of the situation. The truly worrisome possibility is not Russian expansion in the Soviet model, but rather, the idea that the attack on South Ossetia was not a blunder, but rather an intentional provocation by the USA designed to trigger a wider war in the area that will allow for a strike on Iran before the end of the Bush administration. Time will tell.
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Very well considered. This article can get everyone up to speed on the bigger picture, and the sympathies and motivations of such.

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guerilla, Aug 12, 2008 IP

ST12 Active Member

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.................the idea that the attack on South Ossetia was not a blunder, but rather an intentional provocation by the USA designed to trigger a wider war in the area that will allow for a strike on Iran before the end of the Bush administration. Time will tell..............

Two scenarios.
1. Saakasvhili - Idiot to attack S. Ossetia
2. Idiots advised him to do it miscalculating Russia.
3. US - Israel intentional move so they can hit Iran.

If S. Ossetia is part of Georgia, then why killing 2,000 of your own civilian unarmed population?

ST12, Aug 12, 2008 IP

N_F_S Active Member

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#3

All well said, CNN should hire this guy

N_F_S, Aug 12, 2008 IP

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Great analysis on Russia-Georgia from Vox Day

guerilla Notable Member

ST12 Active Member

N_F_S Active Member

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