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Exploring 3 Letter Domain Values

Discussion in 'Domain Names' started by kohashi, Dec 29, 2010.

  1. #1
    I thought some people here might find this interesting:

    http://www.kevinohashi.com/30/12/2010/exploring-three-letter-domain-name-values

    what was most interesting was .COM and .NET almost perfectly correlated until mid 2007 and diverged and go opposite directions as of early 2010.

    .NET looks like it may have a troubled future.

    .MOBI bubble and crash in graph form.


    lots of other little things, maybe others here will see different/other trends in the data? What do you think?
     
    kohashi, Dec 29, 2010 IP
  2. Coyotito

    Coyotito Peon

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    #2
    Interesting find, thanks for sharing this :) Personally I don't think that .net domains will be troubled in the future, why would they?
     
    Coyotito, Dec 29, 2010 IP
  3. SiberForum

    SiberForum Banned

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    #3
    Can agree! Why do you think so that .net domains will be troubled?

    BTW, thank for sharing this info - very interesting one.
     
    SiberForum, Dec 30, 2010 IP
  4. rxJay

    rxJay Peon

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    #4
    great research. thanks for sharing!
    how about adding valuation tools?
     
    rxJay, Dec 30, 2010 IP
  5. kohashi

    kohashi Well-Known Member

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    #5
    Why would .NET be troubled?

    I am not certain of it at all, but the data shows it's value has been decoupled from .COM for 3.5 years now and they've started to head opposite directions.

    I put forth some possible explanations in the article:

    Do we have a 'loser' TLD in the making (demand dropping because of hype/artificial value)?
    Is it a market correction that will level off at some point and correlate again?
    Massive dumping pushing prices down?
    .NET lacks a clear brand/purpose unlike .COM and .ORG?


    I am only reading the data, there could always be problems with the data as well. Are 3 letter prices really reflective of market health? I had a long discussion with many people about that, it seems to be a case of 'best available' methodology, but far from perfect.
     
    kohashi, Dec 30, 2010 IP
  6. kohashi

    kohashi Well-Known Member

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    #6
    Thank you. As far as valuation tools, I don't believe it's possible to accurately value them in an automated fashion. I have tried before and did a long research paper years ago at my university. Expert judgement kicked automated valuation's ass multiple times in real world situations. The accuracy levels weren't even close.

    If you understand statistics/economics, some of the problems are: bimodal distribution and unique supply. It screws up statistical modelling :(
     
    kohashi, Dec 30, 2010 IP