Clickbank Sales Pattern - Why is it SOOO Random?

Discussion in 'ClickBank' started by ParthS, Jul 12, 2009.

  1. #1
    People are getting really frustrated with all these random clickbank sales patterns. People seem to from making $200 per day, to literally $0 per day. Why is this that case?

    Well, there can be a lot of reasons for this, and the economy is certainly one of them. But I personally don't like to spend too much on the "why." You see, the "why" is something we can't usually control:

    * Bad economy
    * People leaving for holidays
    * A niche becoming over saturated


    There are probably a ton of reasons WHY patterns are so random. I think it's more important to look at things you can control. Most non-successful affiliates sit around and wait for something to happen.

    I know this because I used to be one of them. You need to literally be a go-getter. You need to be fierce. You need to say - ok OBVIOUSLY, what I was doing isn't working, so what can I now do differently to jump start my income once again.

    It's a lot like weight loss. I'm talking about this because I'm in the fitness niche, own a well-read blog, and have gone through my own personaltransformation.

    On the first week, you lose 5 pounds. Second week, you lose 3 pounds. And then you keep losing 1-2 pounds each week, consistently. Then all of a sudden, you hit a plateau.

    The one who fails will be the one who keeps doing the same thing expecting different results (i.e. breaking through a plateau). The one who succeeds is the one who completely changes his approach and pushes himself into a new level of fitness (or marketing, in our case).

    That's how it works in EVERY endeavor that your pursue. So stop complaining and start working!
     
    ParthS, Jul 12, 2009 IP
  2. dlm

    dlm Peon

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    #2
    Well, unfortunately most of your argument is crap.

    One main reason for "sales patterns" is variance (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance). If your average is 1 sale per 100 hops, you might get 4 sales in 100 hops one day and then no sales for 3 days. That's just the randomness of a small sample size.

    I don't think the economy impacts sales much and people leaving for holidays or a niche becoming saturated might affect traffic levels, but shouldn't affect conversion ratios much.
     
    dlm, Jul 12, 2009 IP
  3. ParthS

    ParthS Peon

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    #3
    DLM, I appreciate your feedback, but I think you're completely missing what I'm saying. In fact, we're actually talking about the same exact thing.

    Let me try to rephrase that - Don't worry about external factors such as economy, holidays, etc. Focus on what you can control, such as your marketing strategy.

    I'll assuming you were just having a bad day with the use of the word "crap." I won't hold a grudge.
     
    ParthS, Jul 12, 2009 IP
  4. ascnetwork

    ascnetwork Peon

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    #4
    I wonder if "randomness" should not always be the same?

    I have been with clickbank since 1998.

    From 1998 since 2008 I have always been making steady sales.

    The "One day $200 and the other day $0 SYNDROM" is something completely new.

    It started back in october 2008

    So did randomness become even more random?
     
    ascnetwork, Jul 12, 2009 IP
  5. tanakanewyork

    tanakanewyork Guest

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    #5
    Hi Parths, what you said is not the main reason that the sales so RANDOM. I don't know why you post this thread. You wanna be famous in DP or you wanna be professional?

    I think you should continue your email marketing, but not something else.
     
    tanakanewyork, Jul 12, 2009 IP
  6. dlm

    dlm Peon

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    #6
    Nah, I use the word crap often. I'm having a pretty good day actually. I agree with you "worry about what you can control" but you're missing my point - it's not the "external factors" which are causing most of the variation, just regular statistical probabilities. Of course, CB screwing up or shaving leads to due high refunds might also be at fault, but regular statistical variation has much more to do with the "randomness" than the economy.
     
    dlm, Jul 12, 2009 IP
  7. giorgioarmani

    giorgioarmani Well-Known Member

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    #7
    I totally agree with this. I just posted a similar answer on another similar thread. You cannot expect to determine trends with a few hops and sales. If you have 10,000 hops and 200 sales... Then you can start reading into it. Everything else will just be random...

    Holidays and the economy are definitely hard to "control" :D
     
    giorgioarmani, Jul 13, 2009 IP