Latest Betting Odds For US Elections

Discussion in 'Politics & Religion' started by AGS, Jan 4, 2008.

  1. #1
    New Hampshire:

    John McCain 4/11
    Mitt Romney 5/2
    Ron Paul 16/1
    Mike Huckabee 16/1
    Rudy Giuliani 25/1
    Fred Thompson 66/1

    Republican Candidate (Outright):

    John McCain 2/1
    Rudolph Giuliani 9/4
    Mike Huckabee 3/1
    Mitt Romney 4/1
    Ron Paul 14/1
    Fred Thompson 16/1
    Condoleezza Rice 66/1

    Next US President:

    Hilary Clinton 6/4
    Barack Obama 15/8
    John McCain 6/1
    Rudolph Giuliani 13/2
    Mike Huckabee 7/1
    Ron Paul 14/1
    Mitt Romney 16/1
    Michael Bloomberg 16/1
    John Edwards 33/1
    Fred Thompson 33/1
    Condoleezza Rice 66/1
    Bill Richardson 250/1

    The bookies think that "Insane McCain" is going to p*ss it in NH.
     
    AGS, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  2. Briant

    Briant Peon

    Messages:
    1,997
    Likes Received:
    78
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    #2
    4/11? Does that mean it's rigged :confused:

    So what's that make Hillary for next president 1/666 :D
     
    Briant, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  3. AGS

    AGS Notable Member

    Messages:
    6,543
    Likes Received:
    257
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    265
    #3
    LMAO @ Shrillary. :D

    Do you know the fractional system mate?

    I'll explain.

    Look at NH betting and look at Mike Huckaboo:

    Mike Huckabee 16/1

    That means that if you place 1 dollar on Huck and the crazy fook wins then you get $17 back ($16 win plus your $1 stake)

    Now look at Insane McCain:

    John McCain 4/11

    That means that if you put $11 on the lunatic and he won then you would only win $4, plus your stake back. Not because he is insane (as we both know he is lol) but because he is what is known as "odds on favourate."

    If you put $2 on Romney at his odds of 5/2) and he wins you would win $5, plus your $2 back.

    Hope this explains.
     
    AGS, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  4. Mia

    Mia R.I.P. STEVE JOBS

    Messages:
    23,694
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    440
    #4
    RP really ranks up there..:rolleyes:
     
    Mia, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  5. AGS

    AGS Notable Member

    Messages:
    6,543
    Likes Received:
    257
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    265
    #5
    These odds are of right now Mia, they will be changing all the time as the race goes on.

    The more recognition RP gets the lower his odds will be, it can change very rapidly.
     
    AGS, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  6. Mia

    Mia R.I.P. STEVE JOBS

    Messages:
    23,694
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    440
    #6
    Liddell vs Paul.. I'm taking Liddell...
     
    Mia, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  7. AGS

    AGS Notable Member

    Messages:
    6,543
    Likes Received:
    257
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    265
    #7
    I think you'll find that as the campagne gathers pace and all the deadwood gets cleared out Ron Pauls odds will shorten drastically, especially if he gets a top 2 finish in NH which is highly possible. Even though his current odds are suggesting 3rd/4th.

    I'll post the odds again in a new thread in a couple of weeks to show you what I mean. :)

    It's not rocket science Mia, even your hero Bush might be able to figure it out after a bit of tutoring.
     
    AGS, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  8. Mia

    Mia R.I.P. STEVE JOBS

    Messages:
    23,694
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    440
    #8
    Somehow I think even if RP were running unopposed he would still be polling low..
     
    Mia, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  9. guerilla

    guerilla Notable Member

    Messages:
    9,066
    Likes Received:
    262
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    200
    #9
    I would be happy with a 3rd place finish.
     
    guerilla, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  10. Mia

    Mia R.I.P. STEVE JOBS

    Messages:
    23,694
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    440
    #10
    So what you are saying is the average RP supporter has lowered expectations...
     
    Mia, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  11. guerilla

    guerilla Notable Member

    Messages:
    9,066
    Likes Received:
    262
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    200
    #11
    No. I've become aware of the campaign strategy.
     
    guerilla, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  12. Mia

    Mia R.I.P. STEVE JOBS

    Messages:
    23,694
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    440
    #12
    Lowered expectations... :D
     
    Mia, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  13. smatts9

    smatts9 Active Member

    Messages:
    1,089
    Likes Received:
    71
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    88
    #13
    Hit me up for a dime on Condoleezza.
     
    smatts9, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  14. guerilla

    guerilla Notable Member

    Messages:
    9,066
    Likes Received:
    262
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    200
    #14
    No. Steady growth and NH is not our battlefront state.
     
    guerilla, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  15. Mia

    Mia R.I.P. STEVE JOBS

    Messages:
    23,694
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    440
    #15
    I'd lean more toward lowered expectations.
     
    Mia, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  16. guerilla

    guerilla Notable Member

    Messages:
    9,066
    Likes Received:
    262
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    200
    #16
    I don't agree, but that is fine.

    3 months ago, we would never poll 2%. 1 month ago, we would never break double digits. I'm anxious to hear that we cannot win. lol
     
    guerilla, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  17. Mia

    Mia R.I.P. STEVE JOBS

    Messages:
    23,694
    Likes Received:
    1,167
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    440
    #17
    When has RP ever broke double digits? Last I saw it was still around 4% on average.. Of course, who would have imagined that whopping 4%.. :rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes:
     
    Mia, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  18. guerilla

    guerilla Notable Member

    Messages:
    9,066
    Likes Received:
    262
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    200
    #18
    He's polled in double digits in SC and just finished in double digits in IA.
     
    guerilla, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  19. Zibblu

    Zibblu Guest

    Messages:
    3,770
    Likes Received:
    98
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    #19
    I think I could get into this political betting. Where can I put the money down? And is this legal?
     
    Zibblu, Jan 4, 2008 IP
  20. guerilla

    guerilla Notable Member

    Messages:
    9,066
    Likes Received:
    262
    Best Answers:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    200
    #20
    I don't gamble, but I read people talking about INTRADE all of the time, w/e that is.
     
    guerilla, Jan 4, 2008 IP