How do we determine the REAL # of searches per keyword in Google?

Discussion in 'Keywords' started by tateote, Nov 29, 2006.

  1. #1
    How do we determine the REAL # of searches per keyword in Google?

    This is what we did:

    keyword: # of searches PER MONTH:
    "my keyword phrase" 168,997 ACCORDING TO OVERTURE
    "my keyword phrase" "Average Search Volume" ACCORDING TO GOOGLE
    "my keyword phrase" 61 "predicted" in last 24 hours for Google in Wordtracker

    That means on average there are 3,000 searches PER DAY.

    We have currenly climbed into 10th position for "my keyword phrase".

    -------------------------------------------------------------
    QUESTION: What percentage of clicks does 10th position get?
    -------------------------------------------------------------

    I have checked to see how many data centers are actuallay showing
    our site and here are the results:

    "my keyword phrase"
    DC IP: POSITION:

    66.249.93.104 10
    216.239.51.104 9
    66.102.9.99 9
    66.102.9.147 9
    66.102.9.104 9
    66.102.7.99 9
    66.102.7.147 10
    66.102.7.104 10
    66.102.11.99 9
    66.102.11.104 9
    64.233.187.99 9
    64.233.187.104 9
    64.233.183.99 10
    64.233.183.104 9
    64.233.167.99 10
    64.233.167.147 10
    64.233.167.104 10
    64.233.161.147 9
    64.233.161.104 9
    216.239.63.104 9
    216.239.59.99 10
    216.239.59.147 10
    216.239.59.104 10
    216.239.59.103 10
    216.239.57.99 9
    216.239.57.147 9
    216.239.57.104 9
    216.239.53.99 10
    216.239.53.104 10
    64.233.179.104 NOT RANKING
    64.233.185.99 NOT RANKING
    64.233.185.104 NOT RANKING
    64.233.179.99 NOT RANKING
    64.233.171.99 NOT RANKING
    64.233.171.147 NOT RANKING
    64.233.171.104 NOT RANKING
    64.233.161.99 NOT RANKING
    216.239.39.99 NOT RANKING
    216.239.39.104 NOT RANKING
    216.239.37.99 NOT RANKING
    216.239.37.104 NOT RANKING


    OK, so based on these #'s, how many clicks per day do you think we should be able to get for "my keyword phrase"?

    1. roughly 3,000 searches per day <---- DONT KNOW HOW RELIABLE THIS IS
    2. 9th - 10th SERP
    3. ranking in 29 out of 41 DataCenters


    Does anyone have a formula for this type of thing?

    The reason why I am asking is because we have been in this position
    for over 3 days now and have gotten 0 CLICKS!!

    Thanks for your help!

    Terry
     
    tateote, Nov 29, 2006 IP
  2. disgust

    disgust Guest

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    #2
    there is one way, and one way only, to do this.

    rank in the top 10 for that keyphrase. make it a solid ranking. make sure you're in the top 10 in every datacenter. sign up for google sitemaps / webmaster tools and you'll be able to see how often your url is found for that search term.

    that being said, there are plenty of useful ways to get rough estimates, which I'm guessing you know about.

    the number of clicks you get is not just about ranking... it's also about having the site look appealing to the user in the serps. if they're looking for information on widgets and your page appears to them like it's not talking about widgets at all, your CTR will obviously be less.
     
    disgust, Nov 29, 2006 IP
  3. thegypsy

    thegypsy Peon

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    #3
    I don't know where U get your search data from, probably Overture or something

    That is a skewed data source

    The closest you can get for Google is to run an AdWords campaign (need near top bid price) and look at that data for daily searches... this can be skewed on sites with 'seasonal' rushes of course

    That is the only way I know of to get proper Google search traffic data... pay for it -- lol
     
    thegypsy, Nov 29, 2006 IP
  4. tateote

    tateote Peon

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    #4
    Our Title Tag and Description are targeted for that phrase so I dont think people are getting confused.

    David, we dug into Overture, Wordtracker and Google Estimator as well as Nichbot.

    We also figured best way to get search # was to set up a google adwords campaign. ---- well.... gurrrrr.. page 1 CPC is between $2.00 -- $3.50 THATS PER CLICK! ouch!

    If there are a ton of searches, I sure dont want to pay $3.00 per click to be on first page.

    So what do we do?

    :D
     
    tateote, Nov 29, 2006 IP
  5. thegypsy

    thegypsy Peon

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    #5
    Well then the best U can do is work wit the aggregatd data you have collected from those sources

    You already have one major SEO 'trick' down. Never rely on any one data source. This can badly skew your end conclusions and analysis....

    Without actually laying out the PPC $$, work with what you have and you should get close. There is no true datasource for Google search data unfortunately.

    To understand some user behavioral data, I can give you this from a whitepaper I have;


    So a full 62% are not leaving the FIRST PAGE. And U certainly don't want to be lower than page 3.... Now consider Search Traffic and Google page 3 is likely busier than MSN (9% market share) on page 1 sometimes


    The study is much longer... I just figured that may help your train of thought though
     
    thegypsy, Nov 29, 2006 IP
  6. disgust

    disgust Guest

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    #6
    sign up to google sitemaps / webmaster tools. they'll show 1) how many times per day you show up for that term and 2) how many clicks you get for that term.

    if they're way out of whack, that's your problem. it's not just about being targetted, it's about being appealing to the user. you have to make them want to click your result above the competition.
     
    disgust, Nov 29, 2006 IP
  7. tateote

    tateote Peon

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    #7
    Makes sense... thanks guys for your help!
     
    tateote, Nov 30, 2006 IP
  8. seo_kate

    seo_kate Peon

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    #8
    i read somewhere that 50% only visit the first 3 results and other 25% visit results below the scroll so may be u need to work more hard and move up
     
    seo_kate, Dec 1, 2006 IP
  9. CCD

    CCD Peon

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    #9
    I agree with Gypsy and Disgust, there are so many factors - rank position is just one of them. But getting 'above the fold' on a typical 1024x768 desktop will help a lot though.

    Plus, a trick I've found to get a slightly better indication for a keyphrase is to use the 'show total potential clicks' (or whatever it's called) in your adwords account, but this is still not truly representative and you have to set the CPC and budget stupidly high to max it out :)
     
    CCD, Dec 1, 2006 IP
  10. disgust

    disgust Guest

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    #10
    should keep in mind that "average desktop" resolution varies by niche. on digitalpoint I'm sure it's 1024x768, possibly even higher... other niches that don't attrack a tech-savvy crowd will have lower resolutions which means you need to be ranked even higher.

    anyway you cut it, regardless of resolutions, you really need to try to make it into the top 3 for any SERP.
     
    disgust, Dec 1, 2006 IP
  11. CCD

    CCD Peon

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    #11
    sure, there's still 800x600 users out there - even a few 640x4xx, and with the mobile web taking off, top 3 placement will get even more important.
     
    CCD, Dec 1, 2006 IP