13 year old corrects NASA Apophis asteroid hit reduced to 450-1

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by pingpong123, Mar 31, 2009.

  1. #1
    NASA originally stated that the chances of the 1350 foot asteroid apophis hitting the earth were 45,000 to one, and this 13 year old german schoolboy corrected them and said it was a 450 to one chance of an impact. The crazy part is NASA agreed with his calculations!!!!!!!
    Could NASA have been trying to keep the info from spreading to try to calm any future panic?


    http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5g6fIS_34_CxE8-vcC5GvbjD4MIOQ

    German schoolboy, 13, corrects NASA's asteroid figures: paper
    Apr 15, 2008
    BERLIN (AFP) — A 13-year-old German schoolboy corrected NASA's estimates on the chances of an asteroid colliding with Earth, a German newspaper reported Tuesday, after spotting the boffins had miscalculated.
    Nico Marquardt used telescopic findings from the Institute of Astrophysics in Potsdam (AIP) to calculate that there was a 1 in 450 chance that the Apophis asteroid will collide with Earth, the Potsdamer Neuerster Nachrichten reported.
    NASA had previously estimated the chances at only 1 in 45,000 but told its sister organisation, the European Space Agency (ESA), that the young whizzkid had got it right.
    The schoolboy took into consideration the risk of Apophis running into one or more of the 40,000 satellites orbiting Earth during its path close to the planet on April 13 2029.
    Those satellites travel at 3.07 kilometres a second (1.9 miles), at up to 35,880 kilometres above earth -- and the Apophis asteroid will pass by earth at a distance of 32,500 kilometres.
    If the asteroid strikes a satellite in 2029, that will change its trajectory making it hit earth on its next orbit in 2036.
    Both NASA and Marquardt agree that if the asteroid does collide with earth, it will create a ball of iron and iridium 320 metres (1049 feet) wide and weighing 200 billion tonnes, which will crash into the Atlantic Ocean.
    The shockwaves from that would create huge tsunami waves, destroying both coastlines and inland areas, whilst creating a thick cloud of dust that would darken the skies indefinitely.
    The 13-year old made his discovery as part of a regional science competition for which he submitted a project entitled: "Apophis -- The Killer Astroid."
     
    pingpong123, Mar 31, 2009 IP
  2. barrycryan

    barrycryan Peon

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    #2
    shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiit. better get bruce willis on the phone!
     
    barrycryan, Mar 31, 2009 IP
  3. ourfella

    ourfella Well-Known Member

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    #3
    No wonder there have been so many apocalyptic movies recently! Were are doomed I tells ye!
     
    ourfella, Mar 31, 2009 IP
  4. Phynder

    Phynder Well-Known Member

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    #4
    At least Apophis will end everyone's bitching about "global warming"
     
    Phynder, Mar 31, 2009 IP
  5. ourfella

    ourfella Well-Known Member

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    #5
    Yea im sick of hearing about myself, If it is 'true' that we are causing it... we dont have the money to fix it anyway so we may as well start spraying aerosol cans up at the sky and get it over with
     
    ourfella, Mar 31, 2009 IP
  6. pingpong123

    pingpong123 Well-Known Member

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    #6
    They say that apophis isnt a world ender but more of a regional ender. Hundreds of millions could perish depending on where it hits. What you need a specialized bunker away fromground zero and also over 150 miles away from any coast line.
     
    pingpong123, Mar 31, 2009 IP