Check Your Future PageRank

[rustybrick]

I made this nifty tool that checks your future PageRank. The recipe is a secret:

Check out the new Google PageRank Prediction Tool (http://www.rustybrick.com/pagerank-prediction.php).

Let me know if there are any bugs here.

Thanks.

[Kenton]

Oops

I ran my old (301 redirected) site through and got:

Results: Your current Google PageRank is 4. Based on our calculations, we predict your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 9, an increase 127.27%

Would be nice but .... :D

[digitalpoint]

If it happens, can I have a link? :)

- Shawn

[rwhetsto]

I put three sites through, one is going from a PR 5 to a PR 6, next is going from 5 to 10!!!!, next going from 5 to 7. Only the first is possible.

Great idea, I hope you get it working a little better!

[compar]

Rusty,

You are obviously using some historical data and projecting into the future. I think there are problems with your projection. I have a new site that prior to the last updated had no reported backlinks. With this last updated the backlinks jumped to 60 and the PR to 5. Your forecast has the site going to PR9.

But there is no way that that will happen. You can't predict the future from a single point of data. If you haven't got sufficient history to predict a reasonable trend your tool should report "insufficent data". Rather than predict unattainable results.

Neat concept however. And I'm sure we all appreciate your effort. But it definitely still needs work.

[rustybrick]

compar, dont under estimate your work. you never know - you might be that skilled of an SEO to make it jump from a 5 to a 9. ;)

[compar]

There is no doubt that I am that skilled :D

But I'm satisfied with the current position of the site and don't plan to do much more work on it. I still say you can't predict the future on only one or two data points.

Now of course you can make a liar out of me if you want to put up another 200 or 300 links to the site. Do you want the URL? :cool:

[rustybrick]

believe me, its more then 2 data points. a lot more is going into it.

[Bizcut88]

Yeah this doesn't work to well, I don't think my site will be a PR10 next update. Unless IBM decided to go ahead with that link exchange I sent them.

[rwhetsto]

Here’s my 2 cents…
The only way this sort of project could work (be accurate) is if you had your own robots going out and looking at who is linking to who (way to much effort, at least for me) OR you get data from other search engines who give backlink information and assume Google will find them the next time around. compar... A simple time series predictor would not be very helpful for this sort of data, with that in mind I would assume the new PR is based on more than historical data. If the historical data is used it would/should be weight very lowly.

[jarvi]

Rusty, I ran it for one site and it said the PR would remain the same but said there was a decrease of 10%. Looks like you are calculating the change on the result (with decimals) and showing the PR as a whole number. Just my guess anyway.

You may wish to point out that out to people, if in fact I have guessed correctly.

Now why is everyone reporting huge increases and not me? Hmmm much work to do...

[Mr T]

rustybrick, what kind of logarithmic base are you using to extrapolate PR? Even if a site gets 5 times its current links (assuming identical link values), it will only go up 1 PR slot. To go up 2 it would need 25, to go up 3 it would need 125 times the links etc.

[candysmith]

Hi Rusty
Thanks for an awesome "feel-good" tool. Although some predictions seem a little off, (a one page site going from PR5 to PR10) all the others seemed fairly realistic. Will let you know after the next update what came true!!

[expat]

Hi Rusty,

great tool - at least when it shows a positive trend - if not I just blame it on your PHP....

Q. www.natural-remedies-clinic.co.uk/ (http://www.natural-remedies-clinic.co.uk/)

comes up as error but it does exist... (has 3 or so)
M

[Mr T]

Sure hope this tool is fairly accurate - PR7 here I come!

[LEDgirl]

That was fun! Sort of remided me of the old Magic 8 Ball... You know, you ask it a question and sometimes you are happy with the result, sometimes not happy and in other cases just downright confused.

My Results: Your current Google PageRank is 6. Based on our calculations, we predict your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 7, an increase of 24.74%.

In my case I hope the Magic PR Prediction Tool is correct! :)

- CD

[Such Great Heights]

it's like spitty slurpy, or the moonwalk, you can't explain it with science! [/UCB refrence] :p

here is what I got:
Results: Your current Google PageRank is 4. Based on our calculations, we predict your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 4, a decrease of 0.32%

My first thought, was, whaaaaa???

but then I figured you got a decmial point in there somewhere.

good work.

[irish_ladie]

Hope its not right I am going from a PR5 to a PR4..

[Foxy]

I just tried out me little up and coming star that I started just over a month ago and it said that I was going to be an 8!!!!

Wowee if that is true I will very much like to buy you a beer :D

[expat]

The magic works - prediction trend was about right. I tried it with a wide range of sites and when it prdicted no or under 10% movement sites remained on pr when it predicted 10%+ yes these actually gained.

Unfortunately this again shows me that PR is past it's sell by date giving just a good indication if a site has any decent content and some good relations.

On the other hand sites with 5 and 5+ the backlinks from = & -1 pages are now undeniably counted by G.
M

[SanDiego]

Yeah this was great...LOL Here's what my "future" Page rank will be:

Results: Your current Google PageRank is 5. Based on our calculations, we predict your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 10.

It must be all this SEO stuff I've been learning about here

Rusty - Do you guarentee this rank? ...lol

[mopacfan]

Results: Your current Google PageRank is 5. Based on our calculations, we predict your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 5, an increase of 6.56%.

Can someone explain this? I know I'm not very good at math, but I didn't think I was that bad...

[Foxy]

Can someone explain this? I know I'm not very good at math, but I didn't think I was that bad...

hehe...what happens is that all the formulae calculated are 5.1111...5.23456... etc but Google truncates to the absolute eg 5 but rustys tool is calculating the theoretical extrapolation of your movements [ahem] and so if you were 5.1 for example you would now be 5.43456 an increase of 6.56%

but it still is 5.

Bless it! :)

[e-agbar]

hi,
i've test it with www.camodomarktplatz.de 07/24/2004.
now pr=4 future pr=10
i think that can't be.

e-agbar

[schlottke]

This has been exhausted, it isn't 100% accurate.

[disgust]

not only is it not 100% accurate, the numbers it gives are completely random and arbitrary and not based on any real data at all :)

[gastongr]

That was harsh Ms disgust

[Foxy]

This tool is really only a bit of fun - the problem with maths and predictions is that you can make figures do anything you want - it all depends on how you play it.

Here the problem is predicting the dampening effect needed to "calm" the rise in PR and the extrapolation forward.

I would guess it works in reverse too - I think I would rather have the possible 10 than the other. :)

[eduardomaio]

Here�s my 2 cents�
The only way this sort of project could work (be accurate) is if you had your own robots going out and looking at who is linking to who (way to much effort, at least for me) OR you get data from other search engines who give backlink information and assume Google will find them the next time around. compar... A simple time series predictor would not be very helpful for this sort of data, with that in mind I would assume the new PR is based on more than historical data. If the historical data is used it would/should be weight very lowly.

He could use Yahoo backlinks that are way more accurate and updated than Google, retrieve the PR of those backlinks and give you your "Future PR". Anyway, that would be a very complicated process envolving tons of data a lots of cpu power.

Anyway, for some of my websites it is pretty accurate, for others it is somewhat wrong, but only shows flutuations of 1 PR point, not like i've read here from PR3 to PR10.

[joeychgo]

here is what I got for: Do it yourself car repair (http://www.lincolnvscadillac.com/tech/)

Google PageRank Prediction
This tool attempts to determine a future Google PageRank value of a particular site. In other words, we try to determine the PageRank value of the URL you enter below, as it would be after the next Google PageRank update. The tools does several calculations to come to this figure. We estimate the value of the future PageRank and then round up or down as Google would. This is an estimation and should not be considered factual, please use with the intention of entertainment purposes only. This site is not affiliated with Google.

Enter the URL below and click submit to find out your future Google PageRank. Note: The URL must match the URL you want to check the PR exactly. So please include the "www" if that is what you want to check.

Results: Your current Google PageRank is 4. Based on our calculations, we predict your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 10.


OK, so im selling links from this page - anyone interested?

[joeychgo]

then for another page, which has a pr3 - i got this:

This tool attempts to determine a future Google PageRank value of a particular site. In other words, we try to determine the PageRank value of the URL you enter below, as it would be after the next Google PageRank update. The tools does several calculations to come to this figure. We estimate the value of the future PageRank and then round up or down as Google would. This is an estimation and should not be considered factual, please use with the intention of entertainment purposes only. This site is not affiliated with Google.

Enter the URL below and click submit to find out your future Google PageRank. Note: The URL must match the URL you want to check the PR exactly. So please include the "www" if that is what you want to check.

http://www.lincolnvscadillac.com/tech/lincoln-mark-viii/transmission-JMOD/index.htm Not Found

[joeychgo]

and finally for my Lincoln Mark VIII (http://www.lincolnsofdistinction.com/) page, I got this:

This tool attempts to determine a future Google PageRank value of a particular site. In other words, we try to determine the PageRank value of the URL you enter below, as it would be after the next Google PageRank update. The tools does several calculations to come to this figure. We estimate the value of the future PageRank and then round up or down as Google would. This is an estimation and should not be considered factual, please use with the intention of entertainment purposes only. This site is not affiliated with Google.

Enter the URL below and click submit to find out your future Google PageRank. Note: The URL must match the URL you want to check the PR exactly. So please include the "www" if that is what you want to check.

Results: Your current Google PageRank is 3. Based on our calculations, we predict your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 10.





So, links are for sale from this page also.

[KCarrington]

I did a check on my site, which is PR 2. Despite hundreds of new reciprocal links, and many high PR links, your tool still shows I'll be given a PR 2 on update. Interesting. I don't see how you can make such a tool, when Google will not even accurately report links back to my site. Sorry to say, but I have to say the tool, is, well - useless.

[BuddhaBrilliant]

I'm bursting with PR10's. Looks like I might be getting that villa after all.

[prowler]

According to that tool my site will jump from a 4 to a 6 which a find hard to believe but we shall see.

Results: Your current Google PageRank is 4. Based on our calculations, we predict your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 6, an increase of 57.89%.

[frankm]

I realy --- !! --- hope your tool is accurate:

> Results: Your current Google PageRank is 4. Based on our calculations, we predict
> your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 10.

but then again, you never say when "future" is .. so who know :-)

[Cristian Mezei]

No offense Rusty , but this tool is a joke :)

[Nintendo]

And massivly outdated!!!! :D:D I'll take that PR 10 now!! :D:D

[Cristian Mezei]

Yeah ... I got two PR10's too :)

[DomainMagnate]

for me it only shows pr0 or pr4.. :(

[Raul Swirl Media]

My site Results : Your current Google PageRank is 0. Based on our calculations, we predict your future PageRank after the next Google update will be 0.
but my site pr is 1 now.

[jezzz]

It is not perfect because many of times i tested it but never got any predicted result in any Google Update

[MasterOfDeath]

i will try thanks

[reallykool]

its says my PR3 site is currently PR0 and is predicted to be PR0. :-(

[polymorphs]

same with one of my sites, current PR3 (checked again just to make sure ;) ) but the tool shows it to be currently 0 and projected to be 0.

I hope you get this working as it would be a great way to check if what you were doing was working

[mellowmuppet]

I reckon the the page rank function is a bit exponential the higher the page rank the more links you need. although that is obvious you need to put some sort of aggregation of maybe some diff into he equation to get more realistic results

A PR 0 site always seems to be a page rank 0 in the future as well. Maybe it was cause I through in any old shit i found in Google.

[Karel]

These are usless and usually come up with a different result when you go on a different one.

[myadsense]

It doesn't work anymore...iwebtool is better I think

[langleau]

Not working on my sites either.
Have PR currently but showing 0 and predicting zero.
Cheers.

[lomazoma]

thanks for this

[ditodelacroix]

no work anymore, check google.com PR,said : http://google.com Not Found :)

[kabayan]

yes..this not work... my site not found.. :p

[diabloroxx]

it just said my website is not found!! And I spent months trying to get it up and running.

[PyramidSeo]

Thanks a lot....

[woogley]

none of my sites got pr... is this really true?

[sharp]

nice tool ..

[iminphils]

I input one of my blogs and one of my websites, both of which are long established but with 0 PR. Results: Not found.

[shailendra]

i am getting the message that the URL could not be found. Same message s being displayed for Google too

[ultimateweblogos]

i dont think this tool works